Lindy effect
Эффект Линди · Lindy · Lindy эффект · Закон Линди
For non-perishable things (ideas, books, technologies), the longer something has been around, the longer it's likely to stick around.
A book in print for 50 years is more likely to still be read in 50 more than this year's bestseller is. A 200-year-old technology has more remaining life than a 2-year-old startup. Time-tested has filtered through the silent graveyard.
Lindy is a cheap proxy for robustness when you have no other information. Old books, old habits, old physical things, old systems - they passed selection.
Tools: a 30-year-old programming editor will likely outlast a 2-year-old «next-gen» one. The aesthetic of the new is not evidence of durability.
- 1When choosing between options, all else equal, prefer the older one.
This part of the knowledge base is inspired by the book. Go to the Ukrainian edition to explore the concept in depth.
- · Антихрупкость - Lindy effect