Doxastic rules
Доксастические правила · Doxastic principles
Belief-handling rules: track confidence as a number, update it on evidence, and gate big actions behind high p.
«I'm confident» without a number is theatre. «p = 0.6» is a target you can update. Doxastics asks you to (a) state a starting belief, (b) define what evidence would update it, and (c) bind decisions to specific confidence thresholds.
Most disagreements aren't about facts - they're about how confident the parties are. A common doxastic frame is the cheapest peace treaty.
Starting a project: p₀ = 0.55 «this will hit MRR in 6 months». Define green/red evidence. Don't scale until p ≥ 0.8.
- 1Always write p. Always write evidence. Always bind p to action thresholds.
This part of the knowledge base is inspired by the book. Go to the Ukrainian edition to explore the concept in depth.
- · Эпистемолого-терминологическое хранилище «Черный лебедь» - Доксастические принципы